Oversold

F

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth55/ 100
Upside potential41/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

F's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are below averages and the outlook is broadly stable, though estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +1.5%, operating margin +0.5 percentage points. Free cash flow is 3.9% of revenue. The business score is 54.5/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 21.3% upside, or about $16.95.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 23.3%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 30.7% downside, or about $9.68, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

F vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE12x20x42% lower
PE percentile715042% higher
EPS-$1.87$0.92304% lower
FCF$7.3B$8.6B15% lower
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F’s earnings and cash flow are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStable
Forward earningsStable
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionWide

F’s outlook is generally stable, though analysts differ widely on the estimates.

F PE Valuation

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This table applies F's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

F Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks F's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

F Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks F's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

F Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks F's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

F Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in F's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

F Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

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This chart compares F's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Cyclical sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

F Weekly Price

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This chart uses F's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

F Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares F's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

F Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

MSTR

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth42/ 100
Upside potential48/ 100
Risk potential56/ 100

MSTR's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed and an expected return to profit offers recovery potential, though analyst coverage is limited and estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +7.8%, operating margin -1356.6 percentage points. The business score is 41.5/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 51.1% upside, or about $197.90.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 38.4%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 56.4% downside, or about $57.10, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

MSTR vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE5.1x436x99% lower
PE percentile050100% lower
EPS-$96.83-$4.23$92.60 lower
FCF$11.3B-$1.6B+$13B
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MSTR’s earnings are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

MSTR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsTurning positive
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitability--
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

MSTR’s available outlook is mixed, supported by an expected return to profitability.

MSTR PE Valuation

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This table applies MSTR's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

MSTR Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks MSTR's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

MSTR Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks MSTR's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

MSTR Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks MSTR's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

MSTR Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in MSTR's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

MSTR Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

MSTR PE vs Technology Sector

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This chart compares MSTR's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

MSTR Weekly Price

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This chart uses MSTR's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

MSTR Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares MSTR's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

MSTR Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.