Oversold

FE

Valuation35/ 100
Cash flow & growth57/ 100
Upside potential39/ 100
Risk potential25/ 100

FE's valuation is somewhat elevated, fundamentals are somewhat mixed, while forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score fell 1 point, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 1.9%, from $45.88 to $46.77. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the higher price reduced valuation support.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 0.3 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 24.6× versus the full-history median of 19.7× shown in the valuation table, producing 35.3/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 35.3/100. The model applies a 10% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 22.9× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 24.4× PE and $2.2 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +12.6%, earnings -17.1%, operating margin -0.9 percentage points. Free cash flow is 10% of revenue. The business score is 56.8/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $2.23 of EPS and a 24.4× PE, suggesting a share price of about $54.42. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 18% upside, or about $54.43.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $1.59 of EPS and a 21.8× PE, suggesting a share price of about $34.56 — 25% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

FE vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE25x23x7% higher
PE percentile705040% higher
EPS$1.88$1.767% higher
FCF$1.6B-$310.4M+$1.9B
Loading historical comparisons…

FE’s earnings are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

FE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsGrowth
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityExpanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

FE’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

FE PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies FE's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

FE Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks FE's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

FE Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks FE's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

FE Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks FE's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

FE Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in FE's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

FE Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

FE PE vs Utilities Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares FE's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Utilities sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

FE Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses FE's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

FE Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares FE's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

FE Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.