Oversold

FFIN

Same as last week
Valuation62/ 100
Cash flow & growth57/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

FFIN's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to earnings growth and improving margins, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 17.7× versus the full-history median of 21.4× shown in the valuation table, producing 62.7/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 61.6/100. The model applies a 8.2% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 19.5× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 19.6× PE and $2.2 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +10.5%, earnings +8.7%, operating margin -0.4 percentage points. The business score is 57.4/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $2.19 of EPS and a 19.6× PE, suggesting a share price of about $42.81 — 29% above today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $1.58 of EPS and a 17× PE, suggesting a share price of about $26.85 — 19% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

FFIN vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE18x22x20% lower
PE percentile165068% lower
EPS$1.87$1.5620% higher
FCF$322.2M$288.3M12% higher
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FFIN’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

FFIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsGrowth
Forward revenueDecline
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

FFIN’s outlook is generally improving, with declining sales expectations a concern.

FFIN PE Valuation

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This table applies FFIN's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

FFIN Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks FFIN's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

FFIN Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks FFIN's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

FFIN Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks FFIN's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

FFIN Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in FFIN's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

FFIN Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

FFIN PE vs Financial Services Sector

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This chart compares FFIN's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Financial Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

FFIN Weekly Price

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This chart uses FFIN's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

FFIN Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares FFIN's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

FFIN Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

JPM

Same as last week
Valuation30/ 100
Cash flow & growth65/ 100
Upside potential35/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

JPM's valuation is somewhat elevated while fundamentals provide solid support and the outlook sends mixed signals, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 15.3× versus the full-history median of 11.1× shown in the valuation table, producing 29.3/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 29.7/100. The model applies a 11.2% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 13.3× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 14.6× PE and $27.9 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +8%, earnings +19.1%, operating margin +2.4 percentage points. The business score is 65/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

The earnings calculation and the displayed scenario are different.

The earnings case uses $27.93 of EPS and a 14.6× PE, suggesting about $409.04 before the minimum is applied. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The model applies a 15% minimum upside scenario, so the card shows +15%, or about $409.66. That adjusted price does not come from the EPS × PE calculation above.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $19.62 of EPS and a 13.3× PE, suggesting a share price of about $260.74 — 27% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

JPM vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE15x11x34% higher
PE percentile945088% higher
EPS$23.21$15.3551% higher
FCF-$162.5B-$21.5B-$141B
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JPM’s earnings are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

JPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStable
Forward earningsStable
Forward revenueStrong decline
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionModerate

JPM’s outlook is mixed, with declining sales expectations a concern.

JPM PE Valuation

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This table applies JPM's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

JPM Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks JPM's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

JPM Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks JPM's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

JPM Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks JPM's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

JPM Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in JPM's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

JPM Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector

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This chart compares JPM's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Financial Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

JPM Weekly Price

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This chart uses JPM's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

JPM Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares JPM's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

JPM Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.