Oversold

FGN

Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth61/ 100
Upside potential40/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

FGN's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed, while forward estimates point to earnings growth and improving margins, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score rose 6 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 0.3%, from $24.50 to $24.43. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the lower price improved valuation support.

Valuation and price changes added 5.7 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +14.8%, operating margin +11.5 percentage points. The business score is 60.9/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 15% upside, or about $28.01. This uses the 15% minimum allowance.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 15% downside, or about $20.71, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

FGN vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE8.4x15x46% lower
PE percentile215058% lower
EPS$2.90$3.6320% lower
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FGN’s earnings are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

FGN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

FGN’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

FGN PE Valuation

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This table applies FGN's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

FGN Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks FGN's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

FGN Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks FGN's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

FGN Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks FGN's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

FGN Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in FGN's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

FGN Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

FGN PE vs Financial Services Sector

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This chart compares FGN's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Financial Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

FGN Weekly Price

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This chart uses FGN's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

FGN Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares FGN's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

FGN Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.