Oversold

FNV

Same as last week
Valuation63/ 100
Cash flow & growth94/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

FNV's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to earnings and revenue growth despite pressure on margins, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 34.8× versus the full-history median of 40.8× shown in the valuation table, producing 60.8/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 63.1/100. The model applies a 16.1% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 40.7× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 40.3× PE and $9.6 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +73.6%, earnings +88%, operating margin +7.4 percentage points. Free cash flow is 134.2% of revenue. The business score is 93.6/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $9.64 of EPS and a 40.3× PE, suggesting a share price of about $388.89 — 46% above today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $6.45 of EPS and a 31.8× PE, suggesting a share price of about $205.18 — 23% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

FNV vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE35x51x32% lower
PE percentile255051% lower
EPS$7.65$2.52204% higher
FCF$3.1B$440.6M606% higher
Loading historical comparisons…

FNV’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

FNV Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsGrowth
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly contracting
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionModerate

FNV’s outlook is generally improving, with narrowing profit margins the main concern.

FNV PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies FNV's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

FNV Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks FNV's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

FNV Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks FNV's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

FNV Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks FNV's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

FNV Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in FNV's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

FNV Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

FNV PE vs Basic Materials Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares FNV's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Basic Materials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

FNV Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses FNV's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

FNV Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares FNV's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

FNV Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.