Oversold

FROG

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth75/ 100
Upside potential44/ 100
Risk potential43/ 100

FROG's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are above averages and the outlook sends mixed signals.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +26.4%, operating margin +10.7 percentage points. The business score is 74.8/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 33.9% upside, or about $116.73.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 20.9%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 42.8% downside, or about $49.87, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

FROG vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
EPS-$0.37-$0.58$0.21 higher
FCF$169.7M$65.8M158% higher
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FROG’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages.

FROG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStable
Forward earningsStable
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionTight

FROG’s outlook is mixed.

FROG PE Valuation

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This table applies FROG's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

FROG Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks FROG's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

FROG Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks FROG's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

FROG Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks FROG's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

FROG Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in FROG's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

FROG Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

FROG PE vs Technology Sector

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This chart compares FROG's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

FROG Weekly Price

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This chart uses FROG's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

FROG Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares FROG's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

FROG Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

MU

Same as last week
Valuation63/ 100
Cash flow & growth94/ 100
Upside potential76/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

MU's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability, though estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 22.1× versus the full-history median of 21.8× shown in the valuation table, producing 49.2/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 62.6/100. The model applies a 44.2% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 24.5× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 29.3× PE and $68.7 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +167%, earnings +696%, operating margin +43.1 percentage points. Free cash flow is 29% of revenue. The business score is 93.8/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $68.71 of EPS and a 29.3× PE, suggesting a share price of about $2013.06. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 106.4% upside, or about $2012.94.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $38.88 of EPS and a 17.6× PE, suggesting a share price of about $684.31 — 30% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

MU vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE22x27x17% lower
PE percentile52503% higher
EPS$44.21$3.891,037% higher
FCF$26.2B$748.2M3,398% higher
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MU’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

MU Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageBroad
Estimate dispersionWide

MU’s outlook is generally improving, though analysts differ widely on the estimates.

MU PE Valuation

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This table applies MU's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

MU Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks MU's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

MU Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks MU's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

MU Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks MU's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

MU Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in MU's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

MU Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

MU PE vs Technology Sector

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This chart compares MU's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

MU Weekly Price

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This chart uses MU's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

MU Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares MU's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

MU Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.