Oversold

FRPT

Valuation70/ 100
Cash flow & growth82/ 100
Upside potential46/ 100
Risk potential37/ 100

FRPT's valuation is historically cheap, strong fundamentals support the investment case, but expected margin pressure limits the outlook, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score rose 5 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 0.8%, from $70.82 to $70.24. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the lower price improved valuation support.

Valuation and price changes added 5.6 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 16.8× versus the full-history median of 161.5× shown in the valuation table, producing 69.7/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 69.7/100. The model applies a 17.3% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 71× (18-month half-life). A reliable earnings-based price target is unavailable. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +12.8%, earnings +467.2%, operating margin +5.2 percentage points. Free cash flow is 14.3% of revenue. The business score is 81.8/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 31.3% upside, or about $83.69.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 21.3%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 37.3% downside, or about $39.96, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

FRPT vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE17x331x95% lower
PE percentile9.35082% lower
EPS$3.80$0.075,279% higher
FCF$168.6M-$137M+$305.5M
Loading historical comparisons…

FRPT’s earnings are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

FRPT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStable
Forward earningsStable
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityContracting
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

FRPT’s outlook is mixed, with narrowing profit margins the main concern.

FRPT PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies FRPT's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

FRPT Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks FRPT's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

FRPT Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks FRPT's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

FRPT Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks FRPT's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

FRPT Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in FRPT's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

FRPT Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

FRPT PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares FRPT's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Defensive sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

FRPT Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses FRPT's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

FRPT Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares FRPT's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

FRPT Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.