Oversold

FRST

Same as last week
Valuation76/ 100
Cash flow & growth79/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

FRST's valuation is historically cheap, fundamentals provide solid support and forward estimates point to earnings growth and improving margins, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 7.6× versus the full-history median of 11× shown in the valuation table, producing 73.3/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 76.4/100. The model applies a 25.4% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 13.8× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 8.8× PE and $2.9 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +16.3%, earnings +1583.6%, operating margin +23.7 percentage points. The business score is 79.3/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $2.93 of EPS and a 8.8× PE, suggesting a share price of about $25.71. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 57% upside, or about $25.72.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $1.85 of EPS and a 7.1× PE, suggesting a share price of about $13.17 — 20% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

FRST vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE7.6x18x57% lower
PE percentile115079% lower
EPS$2.16$0.68218% higher
FCF-$44.2M$16.7M365% lower
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FRST’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

FRST Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStrong decline
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

FRST’s outlook is generally improving, with declining sales expectations a concern.

FRST PE Valuation

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This table applies FRST's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

FRST Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks FRST's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

FRST Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks FRST's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

FRST Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks FRST's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

FRST Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in FRST's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

FRST Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

FRST PE vs Financial Services Sector

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This chart compares FRST's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Financial Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

FRST Weekly Price

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This chart uses FRST's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

FRST Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares FRST's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

FRST Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.