Oversold

FSLY

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth74/ 100
Upside potential51/ 100
Risk potential60/ 100

FSLY's valuation appears fair while fundamentals provide solid support and forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +20.4%, operating margin +14.3 percentage points. The business score is 73.8/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 62.4% upside, or about $37.61.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 27.2%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 60% downside, or about $9.26, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

FSLY vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
EPS-$0.53-$1.24$0.71 higher
FCF$42.2M-$50.9M+$93.1M
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FSLY’s earnings are above their historical averages.

FSLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsGrowth
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

FSLY’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

FSLY PE Valuation

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This table applies FSLY's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

FSLY Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks FSLY's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

FSLY Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks FSLY's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

FSLY Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks FSLY's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

FSLY Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in FSLY's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

FSLY Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

FSLY PE vs Technology Sector

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This chart compares FSLY's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

FSLY Weekly Price

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This chart uses FSLY's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

FSLY Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares FSLY's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

FSLY Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.