Oversold

GATX

Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth44/ 100
Upside potential24/ 100
Risk potential40/ 100

GATX's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed, while forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score fell 1 point, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 0.3%, from $177.60 to $178.11. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the higher price reduced valuation support.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 0.2 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +22.8%, operating margin -2.1 percentage points. Free cash flow is -228.4% of revenue. The business score is 44.3/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 15% upside, or about $205.31. This uses the 15% minimum allowance.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

The 39.8% downside is driven by operating stress: the model assumes earnings fall 24.5% and the PE falls 20.3%. That gives $7.66 per share at a 14× PE, or about $107.47. Price swings alone suggest 21.1% downside.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

GATX vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE18x21x17% lower
PE percentile215059% lower
EPS$10.15$5.7975% higher
FCF-$4.7B-$983M-$3.7B
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GATX’s earnings are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

GATX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsGrowth
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityExpanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

GATX’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

GATX PE Valuation

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This table applies GATX's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

GATX Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks GATX's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

GATX Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks GATX's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

GATX Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks GATX's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

GATX Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in GATX's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

GATX Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

GATX PE vs Industrials Sector

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This chart compares GATX's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Industrials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

GATX Weekly Price

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This chart uses GATX's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

GATX Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares GATX's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

GATX Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.