Oversold

GCO

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth55/ 100
Upside potential44/ 100
Risk potential48/ 100

GCO's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are above averages and the outlook sends mixed signals, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +3%. Free cash flow is 5.6% of revenue. The business score is 55.1/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 37.5% upside, or about $49.24.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 27.7%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 48.1% downside, or about $18.59, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

GCO vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE7.2x12x40% lower
PE percentile49502% lower
EPS$3.84$1.56145% higher
FCF$135.9M$37.1M266% higher
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GCO’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

GCO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityStable
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

GCO’s outlook is mixed, though analyst coverage is limited.

GCO PE Valuation

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This table applies GCO's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

GCO Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks GCO's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

GCO Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks GCO's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

GCO Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks GCO's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

GCO Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in GCO's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

GCO Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

GCO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

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This chart compares GCO's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Cyclical sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

GCO Weekly Price

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This chart uses GCO's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

GCO Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares GCO's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

GCO Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.