Oversold

GECC

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth53/ 100
Upside potential34/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

GECC's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed and weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +44.6%, earnings -305.2%. The business score is 53.2/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 15% upside, or about $6.90. This uses the 15% minimum allowance.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 27.2% downside, or about $4.37, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

GECC vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE4.5x9.4x52% lower
PE percentile435015% lower
EPS-$3.22-$2.56$0.66 lower
FCF$53.9M$15.8M241% higher
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GECC’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

GECC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly deteriorating
Forward earningsStrong decline
Forward revenue--
Forward profitability--
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

GECC’s available outlook is weakening, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

GECC PE Valuation

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This table applies GECC's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

GECC Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks GECC's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

GECC Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks GECC's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

GECC Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks GECC's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

GECC Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in GECC's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

GECC Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

GECC PE vs Financial Services Sector

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This chart compares GECC's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Financial Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

GECC Weekly Price

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This chart uses GECC's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

GECC Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares GECC's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

GECC Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.