Oversold

GFI

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth50/ 100
Upside potential43/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

GFI's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed and weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though analyst coverage is limited and estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: limited comparable growth data. The business score is 50/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 31.7% upside, or about $59.40.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 41.7% downside, or about $26.29, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

GFI vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE6.5x10x37% lower
PE percentile245052% lower
EPS$6.99$1.89270% higher
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GFI’s earnings are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

GFI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly deteriorating
Forward earningsDecline
Forward revenueStrong decline
Forward profitabilityExpanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

GFI’s outlook is mixed, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

GFI PE Valuation

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This table applies GFI's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

GFI Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks GFI's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

GFI Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks GFI's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

GFI Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks GFI's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

GFI Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in GFI's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

GFI Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

GFI PE vs Basic Materials Sector

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This chart compares GFI's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Basic Materials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

GFI Weekly Price

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This chart uses GFI's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

GFI Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares GFI's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

GFI Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.