Oversold

GFR

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth36/ 100
Upside potential43/ 100
Risk potential39/ 100

GFR's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are below averages, while forward estimates point to a return to profit and improving margins, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are weak. Over the past year: revenue -17.6%, operating margin +0.2 percentage points. Free cash flow is -9% of revenue. The business score is 36.2/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 29.2% upside, or about $7.96.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

The 38.6% downside is driven by operating stress: the model assumes earnings fall 25% and the PE falls 18.2%. That gives $1.48 per share at a 2.6× PE, or about $3.78. Price swings alone suggest 37.5% downside.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

GFR vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE3.1x4.2x25% lower
PE percentile54508% higher
EPS-$0.40$0.39202% lower
FCF-$39.1M$32.1M222% lower
Loading historical comparisons…

GFR’s earnings and cash flow are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

GFR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsTurning positive
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionModerate

GFR’s outlook is generally improving, supported by an expected return to profitability.

GFR PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies GFR's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

GFR Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks GFR's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

GFR Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks GFR's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

GFR Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks GFR's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

GFR Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in GFR's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

GFR Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

GFR PE vs Energy Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares GFR's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Energy sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

GFR Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses GFR's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

GFR Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares GFR's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

GFR Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.