Oversold

GLAD

Valuation16/ 100
Cash flow & growth22/ 100
Upside potential27/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

GLAD's valuation is expensive, weak fundamentals weigh on the score and expected margin pressure limits the outlook, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score fell 12 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 1.0%, from $19.90 to $20.10. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the higher price reduced valuation support.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 11.9 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 10.7× versus the full-history median of 6.1× shown in the valuation table, producing 18.8/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 16/100. The model applies a 0.9% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 7.3× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 9.6× PE and $2.1 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are weak. Over the past year: revenue -17.3%, earnings -44.7%, operating margin -7.5 percentage points. The business score is 22.3/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

The earnings calculation and the displayed scenario are different.

The earnings case uses $2.05 of EPS and a 9.6× PE, suggesting about $19.74 before the minimum is applied. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The model applies a 15% minimum upside scenario, so the card shows +15%, or about $23.11. That adjusted price does not come from the EPS × PE calculation above.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $1.57 of EPS and a 9.3× PE, suggesting a share price of about $14.69 — 27% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

GLAD vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE11x8x34% higher
PE percentile805061% higher
EPS$1.88$2.6429% lower
FCF-$150.8M-$15.6M-$135.1M
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GLAD’s earnings are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

GLAD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStable
Forward earningsStable
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly contracting
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

GLAD’s outlook is mixed, with narrowing profit margins the main concern.

GLAD PE Valuation

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This table applies GLAD's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

GLAD Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks GLAD's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

GLAD Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks GLAD's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

GLAD Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks GLAD's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

GLAD Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in GLAD's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

GLAD Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

GLAD PE vs Financial Services Sector

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This chart compares GLAD's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Financial Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

GLAD Weekly Price

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This chart uses GLAD's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

GLAD Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares GLAD's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

GLAD Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.