Oversold

GOOG

Valuation44/ 100
Cash flow & growth68/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

GOOG's valuation appears fair while fundamentals provide solid support and weaker than expected earnings are holding it back.

Score change since last week

The score rose 8 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 2.2%, from $342.88 to $335.31. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the lower price improved valuation support.

Valuation and price changes added 7.9 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Estimated operating-earnings valuation: current PE is 34.5x versus 27x in comparable estimated history. The model caps earnings at operating profit after interest, assuming proportional tax and per-share effects. This is an estimate, not a verified investment-gain adjustment.

Reported EPS and PE remain in the valuation table. The same estimate is applied to historical earnings and eligible price scenarios. Its contribution to the score is limited by the available evidence; it does not identify all non-recurring items. Comparable history: 106 weeks.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +20.1%, operating margin +0.5 percentage points. Free cash flow is 11.9% of revenue. The business score is 67.6/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $12.73 of EPS and a 34.5× PE, suggesting a share price of about $439.60. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 31% upside, or about $439.44.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $8.53 of EPS and a 28.1× PE, suggesting a share price of about $239.35 — 29% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

GOOG vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE17x26x35% lower
PE percentile0.35099% lower
EPS$19.91$6.27217% higher
FCF$53.3B$65.1B18% lower
Loading historical comparisons…

GOOG’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

GOOG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly deteriorating
Forward earningsStrong decline
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly contracting
Analyst coverageBroad
Estimate dispersionModerate

GOOG’s outlook is mixed, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

GOOG PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies GOOG's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

GOOG Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks GOOG's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

GOOG Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks GOOG's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

GOOG Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks GOOG's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

GOOG Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in GOOG's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

GOOG Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

GOOG PE vs Communication Services Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares GOOG's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Communication Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

GOOG Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses GOOG's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

GOOG Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares GOOG's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

GOOG Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

WBD

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth59/ 100
Upside potential41/ 100
Risk potential40/ 100

WBD's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are below averages and the outlook sends mixed signals, though estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue -6.1%, operating margin +4.8 percentage points. Free cash flow is 6% of revenue. The business score is 59.4/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 27.3% upside, or about $35.69.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 28.3%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 40% downside, or about $16.82, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

WBD vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE90x32x179% higher
PE percentile865072% higher
EPS-$1.27-$0.80$0.47 lower
FCF$2.2B$3.6B40% lower
Loading historical comparisons…

WBD’s earnings and cash flow are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

WBD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsLoss narrowing
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionWide

WBD’s outlook is mixed, though analysts differ widely on the estimates.

WBD PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies WBD's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

WBD Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks WBD's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

WBD Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks WBD's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

WBD Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks WBD's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

WBD Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in WBD's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

WBD Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

WBD PE vs Communication Services Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares WBD's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Communication Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

WBD Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses WBD's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

WBD Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares WBD's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

WBD Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.