Oversold

GPK

Valuation27/ 100
Cash flow & growth34/ 100
Upside potential15/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

GPK's valuation is somewhat elevated, below average fundamentals limit its appeal and weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score rose 1 point, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 9.8%, from $11.56 to $10.43. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the lower price improved valuation support.

Valuation and price changes added 1.1 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 14.4× versus the full-history median of 13.1× shown in the valuation table, producing 43.6/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 27.2/100. The model applies a -16% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 11.4× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 12.4× PE and $0.6 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are weak. Over the past year: revenue 0%, earnings -62.7%, operating margin -5 percentage points. Free cash flow is 2.2% of revenue. The business score is 34.4/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

The earnings calculation and the displayed scenario are different.

The earnings case uses $0.62 of EPS and a 12.4× PE, suggesting about $7.69 before the minimum is applied. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The model applies a 15% minimum upside scenario, so the card shows +15%, or about $10.92. That adjusted price does not come from the EPS × PE calculation above.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $0.41 of EPS and a 10.4× PE, suggesting a share price of about $4.29 — 55% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

GPK vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE14x17x13% lower
PE percentile55509% higher
EPS$0.66$1.4855% lower
FCF$189M$49.8M280% higher
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GPK’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

GPK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly deteriorating
Forward earningsDecline
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityExpanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionModerate

GPK’s outlook is mixed, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

GPK PE Valuation

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This table applies GPK's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

GPK Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks GPK's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

GPK Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks GPK's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

GPK Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks GPK's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

GPK Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in GPK's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

GPK Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

GPK PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

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This chart compares GPK's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Cyclical sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

GPK Weekly Price

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This chart uses GPK's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

GPK Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares GPK's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

GPK Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

NKE

Valuation85/ 100
Cash flow & growth53/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

NKE's valuation is historically cheap, fundamentals are below averages, but weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though estimates vary widely.

Score change since last week

The score rose 1 point, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 3.0%, from $39.60 to $38.40. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the lower price improved valuation support.

Valuation and price changes added 0.4 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 17.5× versus the full-history median of 30.7× shown in the valuation table, producing 81.4/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 85.2/100. The model applies a 30.2% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 28.8× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 20.6× PE and $2.9 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +0.2%, earnings -2.8%, operating margin +0.2 percentage points. Free cash flow is 4.7% of revenue. The business score is 52.6/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $2.95 of EPS and a 20.6× PE, suggesting a share price of about $60.65 — 64% above today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $1.82 of EPS and a 16.3× PE, suggesting a share price of about $29.83 — 19% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

NKE vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE18x34x49% lower
PE percentile0.95098% lower
EPS$2.10$3.0331% lower
FCF$2.2B$4.6B53% lower
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NKE’s earnings and cash flow are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationDeteriorating
Forward earningsDecline
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityStable
Analyst coverageBroad
Estimate dispersionWide

NKE’s outlook is weakening, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

NKE PE Valuation

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This table applies NKE's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

NKE Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks NKE's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks NKE's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

NKE Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks NKE's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

NKE Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in NKE's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

NKE Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

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This chart compares NKE's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Cyclical sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

NKE Weekly Price

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This chart uses NKE's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares NKE's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

NKE Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.