Oversold

GS

Valuation36/ 100
Cash flow & growth64/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

GS's valuation is somewhat elevated, fundamentals are somewhat mixed, while forward estimates point to earnings growth and improving margins.

Score change since last week

The score fell 6 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 0.4%, from $1033.99 to $1038.61. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the higher price reduced valuation support.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 6.3 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 15.9× versus the full-history median of 12.3× shown in the valuation table, producing 33.2/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 36.3/100. The model applies a 20.4% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 15.9× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 16.4× PE and $84.2 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue -6.8%, earnings +42.6%, operating margin +9.1 percentage points. The business score is 64.4/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $84.17 of EPS and a 16.4× PE, suggesting a share price of about $1382.02. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 34.3% upside, or about $1382.19.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $55.54 of EPS and a 13.4× PE, suggesting a share price of about $745.79 — 28% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

GS vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE16x12x32% higher
PE percentile745049% higher
EPS$64.78$38.3069% higher
FCF-$41.5B-$10.3B-$31.2B
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GS’s earnings are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsGrowth
Forward revenueStrong decline
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionModerate

GS’s outlook is generally improving, with declining sales expectations a concern.

GS PE Valuation

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This table applies GS's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

GS Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks GS's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

GS Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks GS's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

GS Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks GS's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

GS Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in GS's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

GS Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

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This chart compares GS's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Financial Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

GS Weekly Price

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This chart uses GS's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares GS's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

GS Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

PTA

ValuationN/A
Cash flow & growthN/A
Upside potentialN/A
Risk potentialN/A

Valuation

The valuation score compares today’s PE with recent history and similar earnings periods. Stronger growth supports a higher valuation; weaker growth lowers it. Earnings that are difficult to compare receive less weight.

Cash flow & growth

The business score reflects revenue and earnings growth, profit margins and free cash flow. Recent results show whether the business is improving or weakening. Measures must fit the business; incomplete or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Reliable data is insufficient to calculate upside.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Reliable data is insufficient to calculate downside.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

PTA vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
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PTA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
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Forward profitability--
Analyst coverage--
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PTA PE Valuation

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This table applies PTA's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

PTA Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks PTA's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

PTA Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks PTA's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

PTA Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks PTA's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

PTA Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in PTA's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

PTA Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

PTA PE vs Financial Services Sector

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This chart compares PTA's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Financial Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

PTA Weekly Price

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This chart uses PTA's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

PTA Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares PTA's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

PTA Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.