Oversold

HASI

Valuation8/ 100
Cash flow & growth35/ 100
Upside potential22/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

HASI's valuation is expensive, below average fundamentals limit its appeal and the outlook is broadly stable, though analyst coverage is limited and estimates vary widely.

Score change since last week

The score fell 14 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 4.1%, from $40.00 to $38.34.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 13.4 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 70.5× versus the full-history median of 23.4× shown in the valuation table, producing 7.9/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 7.7/100. The model applies a 7% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 22.1× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 58.2× PE and $0.6 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are weak. Over the past year: revenue +8.1%, earnings -65.1%, operating margin -13 percentage points. The business score is 35.2/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

The earnings calculation and the displayed scenario are different.

The earnings case uses $0.62 of EPS and a 58.2× PE, suggesting about $36.03 before the minimum is applied. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The model applies a 15% minimum upside scenario, so the card shows +15%, or about $42.98. That adjusted price does not come from the EPS × PE calculation above.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $0.44 of EPS and a 55.7× PE, suggesting a share price of about $24.31 — 35% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

HASI vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE71x30x133% higher
PE percentile925085% higher
EPS$0.53$1.3260% lower
FCF$208.5M$44.5M368% higher
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HASI’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

HASI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStable
Forward earningsStable
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

HASI’s outlook is generally stable, though analyst coverage is limited.

HASI PE Valuation

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This table applies HASI's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

HASI Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks HASI's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

HASI Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks HASI's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

HASI Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks HASI's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

HASI Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in HASI's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

HASI Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

HASI PE vs Financial Services Sector

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This chart compares HASI's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Financial Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

HASI Weekly Price

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This chart uses HASI's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

HASI Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares HASI's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

HASI Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.