Oversold

HBM

Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth72/ 100
Upside potential45/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

HBM's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to earnings and revenue growth despite pressure on margins, though analyst coverage is limited and estimates vary widely.

Score change since last week

The score rose 1 point, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 6.4%, from $29.29 to $27.43. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the lower price improved valuation support.

Valuation and price changes added 0.7 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Estimated operating-earnings valuation: current PE is 26.1x versus 26x in comparable estimated history. The model caps earnings at operating profit after interest, assuming proportional tax and per-share effects. This is an estimate, not a verified investment-gain adjustment.

Reported EPS and PE remain in the valuation table. The same estimate is applied to historical earnings and eligible price scenarios. Its contribution to the score is limited by the available evidence; it does not identify all non-recurring items. Comparable history: 64 weeks.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +13%, operating margin +4 percentage points. Free cash flow is 9.9% of revenue. The business score is 71.9/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $1.24 of EPS and a 26.5× PE, suggesting a share price of about $32.97. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 24.3% upside, or about $32.96.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $0.85 of EPS and a 23.5× PE, suggesting a share price of about $20.04 — 42% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

HBM vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE16x46x66% lower
PE percentile105080% lower
EPS$1.69$0.044,530% higher
FCF$246.4M$156.4M58% higher
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HBM’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

HBM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly contracting
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

HBM’s outlook is generally improving, with narrowing profit margins the main concern.

HBM PE Valuation

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This table applies HBM's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

HBM Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks HBM's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

HBM Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks HBM's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

HBM Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks HBM's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

HBM Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in HBM's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

HBM Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

HBM PE vs Basic Materials Sector

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This chart compares HBM's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Basic Materials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

HBM Weekly Price

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This chart uses HBM's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

HBM Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares HBM's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

HBM Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.