Oversold

HMY

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth50/ 100
Upside potential45/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

HMY's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed, while forward estimates point to earnings growth and improving margins, though analyst coverage is limited and estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: limited comparable growth data. The business score is 50/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 38.7% upside, or about $28.63.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 46.4% downside, or about $11.06, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

HMY vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE5.1x12x57% lower
PE percentile145073% lower
EPS$4.01$1.03290% higher
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HMY’s earnings are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

HMY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStrong decline
Forward profitabilityExpanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

HMY’s outlook is generally improving, with declining sales expectations a concern.

HMY PE Valuation

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This table applies HMY's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

HMY Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks HMY's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

HMY Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks HMY's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

HMY Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks HMY's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

HMY Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in HMY's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

HMY Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

HMY PE vs Basic Materials Sector

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This chart compares HMY's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Basic Materials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

HMY Weekly Price

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This chart uses HMY's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

HMY Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares HMY's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

HMY Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.