Oversold

HNST

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth41/ 100
Upside potential43/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

HNST's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed, while forward estimates point to earnings growth and improving margins, though analyst coverage is limited and estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue -12.3%, operating margin -4.3 percentage points. Free cash flow is 15.4% of revenue. The business score is 40.5/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 39.4% upside, or about $8.29.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 44.2%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 51.8% downside, or about $2.87, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

HNST vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
EPS-$0.11-$0.31$0.20 higher
FCF$52.7M-$19.7M+$72.4M
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HNST’s earnings are above their historical averages.

HNST Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsGrowth
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

HNST’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

HNST PE Valuation

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This table applies HNST's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

HNST Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks HNST's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

HNST Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks HNST's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

HNST Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks HNST's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

HNST Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in HNST's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

HNST Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

HNST PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

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This chart compares HNST's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Cyclical sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

HNST Weekly Price

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This chart uses HNST's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

HNST Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares HNST's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

HNST Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.