Oversold

HON

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth39/ 100
Upside potential22/ 100
Risk potential43/ 100

HON's valuation appears fair, below average fundamentals limit its appeal and weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are weak. Over the past year: revenue -9.7%, operating margin -5.7 percentage points. Free cash flow is 11.4% of revenue. The business score is 38.7/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 15% upside, or about $232.71. This uses the 15% minimum allowance.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

The 42.5% downside is driven by operating stress: the model assumes earnings fall 27.8% and the PE falls 20.4%. That gives $18.60 per share at a 6.3× PE, or about $116.33. Price swings alone suggest 37.4% downside.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

HON vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE7.9x41x81% lower
PE percentile050100% lower
EPS$25.75$15.8762% higher
FCF$4.1B$4.9B16% lower
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HON’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

HON Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly deteriorating
Forward earningsStrong decline
Forward revenueStrong decline
Forward profitabilityStrongly contracting
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

HON’s outlook is weakening, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

HON PE Valuation

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This table applies HON's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

HON Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks HON's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

HON Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks HON's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

HON Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks HON's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

HON Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in HON's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

HON Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

HON PE vs Industrials Sector

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This chart compares HON's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Industrials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

HON Weekly Price

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This chart uses HON's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

HON Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares HON's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

HON Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.