Oversold

HOOD

Valuation53/ 100
Cash flow & growth49/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

HOOD's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed, while forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability, though estimates vary widely.

Score change since last week

The score fell 2 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 17.1%, from $104.26 to $122.11. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the higher price reduced valuation support.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 2.3 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 49.6× versus the full-history median of 51.1× shown in the valuation table, producing 51.7/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 53/100. The model applies a 15% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 46.9× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 49.4× PE and $2.8 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +16.6%, earnings +15.5%, operating margin -11.7 percentage points. The business score is 49.2/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $2.82 of EPS and a 49.4× PE, suggesting a share price of about $139.46. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 23.9% upside, or about $139.47.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $1.93 of EPS and a 36.2× PE, suggesting a share price of about $69.89 — 38% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

HOOD vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE50x60x18% lower
PE percentile48505% lower
EPS$2.27-$0.47$2.74 higher
FCF-$638M$409.4M256% lower
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HOOD’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

HOOD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsGrowth
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionWide

HOOD’s outlook is generally improving, though analysts differ widely on the estimates.

HOOD PE Valuation

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This table applies HOOD's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

HOOD Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks HOOD's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

HOOD Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks HOOD's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

HOOD Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks HOOD's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

HOOD Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in HOOD's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

HOOD Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector

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This chart compares HOOD's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Financial Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

HOOD Weekly Price

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This chart uses HOOD's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

HOOD Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares HOOD's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

HOOD Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

TMP

Valuation71/ 100
Cash flow & growth75/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

TMP's valuation is historically cheap, fundamentals provide solid support, but weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score fell 1 point, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 1.8%, from $97.80 to $99.57. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the higher price reduced valuation support.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 0.4 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 8.1× versus the full-history median of 11.2× shown in the valuation table, producing 71/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 71.2/100. The model applies a 10.9% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 11.5× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 9.4× PE and $14.6 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +8.3%, earnings +120.6%, operating margin +11.8 percentage points. The business score is 75.3/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $14.64 of EPS and a 9.4× PE, suggesting a share price of about $137.50. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 39.1% upside, or about $137.47.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $10.36 of EPS and a 7.7× PE, suggesting a share price of about $79.99 — 19% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

TMP vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE8.1x19x58% lower
PE percentile7.25086% lower
EPS$12.22$5.28132% higher
FCF$51.7M$94.7M45% lower
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TMP’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

TMP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly deteriorating
Forward earningsStrong decline
Forward revenueStrong decline
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

TMP’s outlook is mixed, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

TMP PE Valuation

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This table applies TMP's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

TMP Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks TMP's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

TMP Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks TMP's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

TMP Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks TMP's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

TMP Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in TMP's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

TMP Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

TMP PE vs Financial Services Sector

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This chart compares TMP's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Financial Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

TMP Weekly Price

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This chart uses TMP's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

TMP Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares TMP's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

TMP Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.