Oversold

HOPE

Valuation25/ 100
Cash flow & growth75/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

HOPE's valuation is somewhat elevated, fundamentals are below averages and forward estimates point to earnings growth and improving margins, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score fell 1 point, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 1.5%, from $13.92 to $14.13. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the higher price reduced valuation support.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 0.2 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 13.9× versus the full-history median of 8.9× shown in the valuation table, producing 22.9/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 25.1/100. The model applies a 20% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 13.2× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 16× PE and $1.3 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +8.4%, earnings +185.7%, operating margin +9.6 percentage points. The business score is 75/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $1.30 of EPS and a 16× PE, suggesting a share price of about $20.82. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 49.4% upside, or about $20.83.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $0.85 of EPS and a 11.5× PE, suggesting a share price of about $9.77 — 30% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

HOPE vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE14x11x23% higher
PE percentile815063% higher
EPS$1.00$1.1513% lower
FCF$183.9M$282.6M35% lower
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HOPE’s earnings and cash flow are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

HOPE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStrong decline
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

HOPE’s outlook is generally improving, with declining sales expectations a concern.

HOPE PE Valuation

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This table applies HOPE's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

HOPE Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks HOPE's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

HOPE Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks HOPE's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

HOPE Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks HOPE's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

HOPE Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in HOPE's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

HOPE Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

HOPE PE vs Financial Services Sector

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This chart compares HOPE's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Financial Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

HOPE Weekly Price

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This chart uses HOPE's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

HOPE Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares HOPE's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

HOPE Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.