Oversold

HPK

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth28/ 100
Upside potential39/ 100
Risk potential47/ 100

HPK's valuation appears fair, below average fundamentals limit its appeal and weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are weak. Over the past year: revenue -12.6%, operating margin -13.4 percentage points. Free cash flow is -1.7% of revenue. The business score is 28.1/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 29.4% upside, or about $10.96.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

The 46.6% downside is driven by operating stress: the model assumes earnings fall 28.9% and the PE falls 24.9%. That gives $0.10 per share at a 44.4× PE, or about $4.53. Price swings alone suggest 43.3% downside.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

HPK vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE59x27x119% higher
PE percentile875074% higher
EPS-$0.79$0.67218% lower
FCF-$14.7M-$242.4M+$227.7M
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HPK’s earnings are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

HPK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsLoss widening
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionModerate

HPK’s outlook is mixed, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

HPK PE Valuation

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This table applies HPK's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

HPK Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks HPK's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

HPK Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks HPK's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

HPK Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks HPK's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

HPK Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in HPK's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

HPK Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

HPK PE vs Energy Sector

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This chart compares HPK's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Energy sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

HPK Weekly Price

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This chart uses HPK's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

HPK Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares HPK's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

HPK Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.