Oversold

HTLD

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth29/ 100
Upside potential31/ 100
Risk potential41/ 100

HTLD's valuation appears fair, below average fundamentals limit its appeal and the outlook sends mixed signals, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are weak. Over the past year: revenue -21%, operating margin -1.9 percentage points. Free cash flow is -11.6% of revenue. The business score is 28.5/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 17.8% upside, or about $14.65.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

The 40.5% downside is driven by operating stress: the model assumes earnings fall 24.7% and the PE falls 21%. That gives $0.16 per share at a 45.7× PE, or about $7.40. Price swings alone suggest 29.7% downside.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

HTLD vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE58x20x190% higher
PE percentile975095% higher
EPS-$0.28$0.49158% lower
FCF-$85.8M-$7.6M-$78.2M
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HTLD’s earnings are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

HTLD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsTurning positive
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionModerate

HTLD’s outlook is mixed, supported by an expected return to profitability.

HTLD PE Valuation

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This table applies HTLD's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

HTLD Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks HTLD's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

HTLD Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks HTLD's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

HTLD Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks HTLD's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

HTLD Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in HTLD's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

HTLD Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

HTLD PE vs Industrials Sector

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This chart compares HTLD's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Industrials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

HTLD Weekly Price

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This chart uses HTLD's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

HTLD Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares HTLD's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

HTLD Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.