Oversold

HTZ

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth52/ 100
Upside potential46/ 100
Risk potential60/ 100

HTZ's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed, while forward estimates point to narrowing losses and improving margins, though analyst coverage is limited and estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +3.4%, operating margin +6 percentage points. Free cash flow is -95% of revenue. The business score is 52.3/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 51.4% upside, or about $3.48.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 32.6%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 60.4% downside, or about $0.91, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

HTZ vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE5.7x7.6x25% lower
PE percentile665032% higher
EPS-$1.12-$2.30$1.19 higher
FCF-$8.5B-$3.1B-$5.4B
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HTZ’s earnings are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

HTZ Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsLoss narrowing
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityExpanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

HTZ’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

HTZ PE Valuation

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This table applies HTZ's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

HTZ Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks HTZ's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

HTZ Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks HTZ's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

HTZ Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks HTZ's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

HTZ Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in HTZ's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

HTZ Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

HTZ PE vs Industrials Sector

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This chart compares HTZ's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Industrials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

HTZ Weekly Price

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This chart uses HTZ's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

HTZ Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares HTZ's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

HTZ Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.