Oversold

IAG

Same as last week
Valuation81/ 100
Cash flow & growth71/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

IAG's valuation is historically cheap, fundamentals provide solid support and forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability, though analyst coverage is limited and estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 10.2× versus the full-history median of 16.2× shown in the valuation table, producing 77.3/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 80.7/100. The model applies a 26.1% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 10.2× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 13.6× PE and $2.7 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +86.9%, earnings +42.6%, operating margin -4.7 percentage points. Free cash flow is 43% of revenue. The business score is 70.5/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $2.71 of EPS and a 13.6× PE, suggesting a share price of about $36.80. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 81.6% upside, or about $36.79.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $1.68 of EPS and a 7× PE, suggesting a share price of about $11.81 — 42% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

IAG vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE10x20x48% lower
PE percentile425017% lower
EPS$1.98$0.26651% higher
FCF$1.6B-$158.8M+$1.7B
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IAG’s earnings are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

IAG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

IAG’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

IAG PE Valuation

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This table applies IAG's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

IAG Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks IAG's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

IAG Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks IAG's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

IAG Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks IAG's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

IAG Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in IAG's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

IAG Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

IAG PE vs Basic Materials Sector

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This chart compares IAG's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Basic Materials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

IAG Weekly Price

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This chart uses IAG's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

IAG Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares IAG's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

IAG Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.