Oversold

ICLR

Valuation33/ 100
Cash flow & growth47/ 100
Upside potential20/ 100
Risk potential39/ 100

ICLR's valuation is somewhat elevated, fundamentals are somewhat mixed and the outlook is broadly stable, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score rose 1 point, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 3.0%, from $170.02 to $164.85. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the lower price improved valuation support.

Valuation and price changes added 0.4 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 39.7× versus the full-history median of 34.5× shown in the valuation table, producing 40.3/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 32.8/100. The model applies a -2.3% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 29.3× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 32.4× PE and $4.5 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +2%, earnings -56.2%, operating margin -2.4 percentage points. Free cash flow is 16.3% of revenue. The business score is 46.6/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

The earnings calculation and the displayed scenario are different.

The earnings case uses $4.53 of EPS and a 32.4× PE, suggesting about $146.77 before the minimum is applied. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The model applies a 15% minimum upside scenario, so the card shows +15%, or about $194.71. That adjusted price does not come from the EPS × PE calculation above.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $3.42 of EPS and a 30× PE, suggesting a share price of about $102.75 — 39% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

ICLR vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE40x38x5% higher
PE percentile675035% higher
EPS$4.26$6.4934% lower
FCF$1.3B$838.1M61% higher
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ICLR’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

ICLR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStable
Forward earningsStable
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

ICLR’s outlook is generally stable, though analyst coverage is limited.

ICLR PE Valuation

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This table applies ICLR's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

ICLR Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks ICLR's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

ICLR Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks ICLR's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

ICLR Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks ICLR's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

ICLR Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in ICLR's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

ICLR Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

ICLR PE vs Healthcare Sector

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This chart compares ICLR's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Healthcare sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

ICLR Weekly Price

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This chart uses ICLR's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

ICLR Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares ICLR's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

ICLR Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.