Oversold

IEP

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth54/ 100
Upside potential28/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

IEP's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed and the outlook sends mixed signals, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +10.1%, operating margin -0.5 percentage points. Free cash flow is -2.3% of revenue. The business score is 53.7/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 16.7% upside, or about $8.17.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

The 42.2% downside is driven by operating stress: the model assumes earnings fall 30% and the PE falls 17.4%. That gives lower earnings at a lower valuation, or about the scenario price. Price swings alone suggest 30.4% downside.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

IEP vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
EPS-$0.74-$2.10$1.36 higher
FCF-$244M$784M131% lower
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IEP’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages.

IEP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsTurning positive
Forward revenueDecline
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

IEP’s outlook is mixed, with declining sales expectations a concern.

IEP PE Valuation

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This table applies IEP's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

IEP Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks IEP's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

IEP Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks IEP's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

IEP Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks IEP's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

IEP Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in IEP's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

IEP Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

IEP PE vs Industrials Sector

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This chart compares IEP's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Industrials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

IEP Weekly Price

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This chart uses IEP's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

IEP Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares IEP's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

IEP Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.