Oversold

INTC

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth71/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

INTC's valuation appears fair while fundamentals provide solid support and forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +7.5%, operating margin +23 percentage points. Free cash flow is 5% of revenue. The business score is 71.1/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 46% upside, or about $150.29.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 26.8%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 46.3% downside, or about $55.28, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

INTC vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE4,348x200x2,074% higher
PE percentile10050101% higher
EPS-$2.11$1.37254% lower
FCF$2.8B-$4B+$6.9B
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INTC’s earnings are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

INTC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageBroad
Estimate dispersionModerate

INTC’s outlook is generally improving, with growth expectations supporting the valuation case.

INTC PE Valuation

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This table applies INTC's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

INTC Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks INTC's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

INTC Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks INTC's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

INTC Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks INTC's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

INTC Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in INTC's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

INTC Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

INTC PE vs Technology Sector

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This chart compares INTC's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

INTC Weekly Price

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This chart uses INTC's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

INTC Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares INTC's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

INTC Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

NICE

Same as last week
Valuation93/ 100
Cash flow & growth54/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

NICE's valuation is historically cheap, fundamentals are above averages and the outlook sends mixed signals, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 14.2× versus the full-history median of 48.4× shown in the valuation table, producing 93/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 92.5/100. The model applies a 2.4% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 22.5× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 17.4× PE and $7.6 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +8.5%, earnings -17.6%, operating margin -2.7 percentage points. Free cash flow is 19.7% of revenue. The business score is 53.8/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $7.60 of EPS and a 17.4× PE, suggesting a share price of about $132.05 — 34% above today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $5.86 of EPS and a 12.1× PE, suggesting a share price of about $70.93 — 28% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

NICE vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE14x47x70% lower
PE percentile135075% lower
EPS$6.90$5.2432% higher
FCF$606.2M$514.9M18% higher
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NICE’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

NICE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStable
Forward earningsStable
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

NICE’s outlook is mixed, though analyst coverage is limited.

NICE PE Valuation

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This table applies NICE's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

NICE Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks NICE's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

NICE Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks NICE's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

NICE Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks NICE's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

NICE Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in NICE's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

NICE Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

NICE PE vs Technology Sector

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This chart compares NICE's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

NICE Weekly Price

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This chart uses NICE's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

NICE Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares NICE's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

NICE Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.