Oversold

IP

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth44/ 100
Upside potential30/ 100
Risk potential48/ 100

IP's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are below averages and the outlook sends mixed signals, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +10.3%, operating margin -12.7 percentage points. Free cash flow is 2% of revenue. The business score is 44.2/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 20.1% upside, or about $41.27.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

The 48% downside is driven by operating stress: the model assumes earnings fall 33% and the PE falls 22.3%. That gives $0.61 per share at a 29.1× PE, or about $17.88. Price swings alone suggest 32% downside.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

IP vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE37x24x59% higher
PE percentile785056% higher
EPS-$6.52$1.49537% lower
FCF$492M$989M50% lower
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IP’s earnings and cash flow are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

IP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsTurning positive
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionModerate

IP’s outlook is mixed, supported by an expected return to profitability.

IP PE Valuation

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This table applies IP's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

IP Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks IP's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

IP Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks IP's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

IP Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks IP's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

IP Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in IP's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

IP Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

IP PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

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This chart compares IP's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Cyclical sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

IP Weekly Price

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This chart uses IP's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

IP Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares IP's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

IP Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

NKE

Valuation85/ 100
Cash flow & growth53/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

NKE's valuation is historically cheap, fundamentals are below averages, but weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though estimates vary widely.

Score change since last week

The score rose 1 point, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 3.0%, from $39.60 to $38.40. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the lower price improved valuation support.

Valuation and price changes added 0.4 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 17.5× versus the full-history median of 30.7× shown in the valuation table, producing 81.4/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 85.2/100. The model applies a 30.2% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 28.8× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 20.6× PE and $2.9 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +0.2%, earnings -2.8%, operating margin +0.2 percentage points. Free cash flow is 4.7% of revenue. The business score is 52.6/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $2.95 of EPS and a 20.6× PE, suggesting a share price of about $60.65 — 64% above today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $1.82 of EPS and a 16.3× PE, suggesting a share price of about $29.83 — 19% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

NKE vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE18x34x49% lower
PE percentile0.95098% lower
EPS$2.10$3.0331% lower
FCF$2.2B$4.6B53% lower
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NKE’s earnings and cash flow are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationDeteriorating
Forward earningsDecline
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityStable
Analyst coverageBroad
Estimate dispersionWide

NKE’s outlook is weakening, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

NKE PE Valuation

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This table applies NKE's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

NKE Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks NKE's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks NKE's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

NKE Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks NKE's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

NKE Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in NKE's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

NKE Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

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This chart compares NKE's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Cyclical sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

NKE Weekly Price

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This chart uses NKE's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares NKE's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

NKE Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.