Oversold

IREN

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth50/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential65/ 100

IREN's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed, while forward estimates point to narrowing losses and improving margins, though analyst coverage is limited and estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +41.1%, operating margin -151.1 percentage points. The business score is 49.6/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 78.6% upside, or about $78.28.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 64.8% downside, or about $15.43, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

IREN vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE886x416x113% higher
PE percentile715044% higher
EPS-$2.16-$2.18$0.02 higher
FCF-$2B-$465.3M-$1.5B
Loading historical comparisons…

IREN’s earnings are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

IREN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsLoss narrowing
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

IREN’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

IREN PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies IREN's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

IREN Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks IREN's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

IREN Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks IREN's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

IREN Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks IREN's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

IREN Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in IREN's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

IREN Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

IREN PE vs Financial Services Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares IREN's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Financial Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

IREN Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses IREN's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

IREN Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares IREN's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

IREN Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

TCBI

Valuation61/ 100
Cash flow & growth76/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

TCBI's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are above averages and the outlook sends mixed signals, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score rose 3 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes.

Valuation and price changes added 3.4 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 13× versus the full-history median of 15.3× shown in the valuation table, producing 60.9/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 60.5/100. The model applies a 9.3% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 15.3× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 14.8× PE and $9 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +9.3%, earnings +204%, operating margin +15 percentage points. The business score is 76/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $8.99 of EPS and a 14.8× PE, suggesting a share price of about $132.82. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 34% upside, or about $132.78.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $6.49 of EPS and a 12.5× PE, suggesting a share price of about $80.77 — 19% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

TCBI vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE13x42x69% lower
PE percentile315038% lower
EPS$7.63$3.9693% higher
FCF$926M$590.8M57% higher
Loading historical comparisons…

TCBI’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

TCBI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStable
Forward earningsStable
Forward revenueStrong decline
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

TCBI’s outlook is mixed, with declining sales expectations a concern.

TCBI PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies TCBI's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

TCBI Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks TCBI's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

TCBI Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks TCBI's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

TCBI Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks TCBI's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

TCBI Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in TCBI's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

TCBI Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

TCBI PE vs Financial Services Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares TCBI's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Financial Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

TCBI Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses TCBI's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

TCBI Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares TCBI's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

TCBI Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.