Oversold

IREN

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth50/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential65/ 100

IREN's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed, while forward estimates point to narrowing losses and improving margins, though analyst coverage is limited and estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +41.1%, operating margin -151.1 percentage points. The business score is 49.6/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 78.6% upside, or about $78.28.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 64.8% downside, or about $15.43, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

IREN vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE886x416x113% higher
PE percentile715044% higher
EPS-$2.16-$2.18$0.02 higher
FCF-$2B-$465.3M-$1.5B
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IREN’s earnings are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

IREN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsLoss narrowing
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

IREN’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

IREN PE Valuation

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This table applies IREN's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

IREN Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks IREN's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

IREN Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks IREN's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

IREN Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks IREN's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

IREN Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in IREN's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

IREN Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

IREN PE vs Financial Services Sector

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This chart compares IREN's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Financial Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

IREN Weekly Price

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This chart uses IREN's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

IREN Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares IREN's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

IREN Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

WAFD

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth60/ 100
Upside potential51/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

WAFD's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed, while forward estimates point to earnings growth and improving margins, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 10.4× versus the full-history median of 10.7× shown in the valuation table, producing 52.2/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 50/100. The model applies a 6.6% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 11.2× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 11× PE and $3.8 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue -4.6%, earnings +24.3%, operating margin +3.5 percentage points. The business score is 59.7/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $3.77 of EPS and a 11× PE, suggesting a share price of about $41.64 — 22% above today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $2.75 of EPS and a 9.8× PE, suggesting a share price of about $26.88 — 21% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

WAFD vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE10x10x0% higher
PE percentile575015% higher
EPS$3.27$2.8216% higher
FCF$227M$262.8M14% lower
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WAFD’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

WAFD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsGrowth
Forward revenueStrong decline
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

WAFD’s outlook is generally improving, with declining sales expectations a concern.

WAFD PE Valuation

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This table applies WAFD's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

WAFD Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks WAFD's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

WAFD Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks WAFD's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

WAFD Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks WAFD's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

WAFD Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in WAFD's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

WAFD Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

WAFD PE vs Financial Services Sector

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This chart compares WAFD's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Financial Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

WAFD Weekly Price

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This chart uses WAFD's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

WAFD Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares WAFD's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

WAFD Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.