Oversold

ITRI

Valuation75/ 100
Cash flow & growth58/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

ITRI's valuation is historically cheap, fundamentals are above averages, but weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score rose 6 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 0.5%, from $97.53 to $97.01. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the lower price improved valuation support.

Valuation and price changes added 5.9 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 15.6× versus the full-history median of 25× shown in the valuation table, producing 77.9/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 75/100. The model applies a 3% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 20.2× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 18.2× PE and $6.7 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue -5.7%, earnings +2.4%, operating margin +1.3 percentage points. Free cash flow is 16.6% of revenue. The business score is 58/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $6.67 of EPS and a 18.2× PE, suggesting a share price of about $121.64. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 30% upside, or about $121.61.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $5.04 of EPS and a 15.1× PE, suggesting a share price of about $76.06 — 19% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

ITRI vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE16x116x87% lower
PE percentile115078% lower
EPS$5.99$1.60275% higher
FCF$383.3M$147.4M160% higher
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ITRI’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

ITRI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationDeteriorating
Forward earningsDecline
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityExpanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

ITRI’s outlook is mixed, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

ITRI PE Valuation

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This table applies ITRI's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

ITRI Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks ITRI's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

ITRI Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks ITRI's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

ITRI Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks ITRI's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

ITRI Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in ITRI's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

ITRI Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

ITRI PE vs Technology Sector

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This chart compares ITRI's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

ITRI Weekly Price

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This chart uses ITRI's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

ITRI Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares ITRI's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

ITRI Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.