Oversold

JAKK

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth42/ 100
Upside potential37/ 100
Risk potential44/ 100

JAKK's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed, while forward estimates point to earnings and revenue growth, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue -17.4%, earnings -73.2%. Free cash flow is -0.2% of revenue. The business score is 41.9/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 25.7% upside, or about $30.90.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

The 43.9% downside is driven by operating stress: the model assumes earnings fall 29% and the PE falls 21%. That gives $0.99 per share at a 14× PE, or about $13.78. Price swings alone suggest 40.6% downside.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

JAKK vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE18x11x62% higher
PE percentile805060% higher
EPS$0.85$1.2130% lower
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JAKK’s earnings are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

JAKK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitability--
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

JAKK’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

JAKK PE Valuation

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This table applies JAKK's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

JAKK Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks JAKK's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

JAKK Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks JAKK's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

JAKK Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks JAKK's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

JAKK Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in JAKK's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

JAKK Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

JAKK PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

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This chart compares JAKK's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Cyclical sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

JAKK Weekly Price

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This chart uses JAKK's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

JAKK Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares JAKK's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

JAKK Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.