Historical cheapness: current PE is 13.8× versus the full-history median of 14.3× shown in the valuation table, producing 52.7/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 53.4/100. The model applies a 11.6% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 13.9× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 14.3× PE and $6.3 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +6.2%, earnings +4.6%, operating margin -0.3 percentage points. Free cash flow is 3% of revenue. The business score is 56.1/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $6.34 of EPS and a 14.3× PE, suggesting a share price of about $90.62. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 25.1% upside, or about $90.61.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $4.46 of EPS and a 12.4× PE, suggesting a share price of about $55.48 — 23% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.