Oversold

JHX

Same as last week
Valuation7/ 100
Cash flow & growth56/ 100
Upside potential24/ 100
Risk potential36/ 100

JHX's valuation is expensive, fundamentals are below averages, while forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 112.9× versus the full-history median of 32× shown in the valuation table, producing 6.8/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 7.1/100. The model applies a 18.1% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 33.5× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 91.6× PE and $0.3 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +42.9%, earnings -67.2%, operating margin -1.5 percentage points. Free cash flow is 6.5% of revenue. The business score is 56.3/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

The earnings calculation and the displayed scenario are different.

The earnings case uses $0.32 of EPS and a 91.6× PE, suggesting about $29.54 before the minimum is applied. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The model applies a 15% minimum upside scenario, so the card shows +15%, or about $32.74. That adjusted price does not come from the EPS × PE calculation above.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $0.21 of EPS and a 85.8× PE, suggesting a share price of about $18.37 — 36% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

JHX vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE113x42x169% higher
PE percentile995099% higher
EPS$0.25$0.8771% lower
FCF$353.5M$370.6M5% lower
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JHX’s earnings and cash flow are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

JHX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionModerate

JHX’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

JHX PE Valuation

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This table applies JHX's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

JHX Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks JHX's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

JHX Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks JHX's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

JHX Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks JHX's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

JHX Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in JHX's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

JHX Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

JHX PE vs Basic Materials Sector

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This chart compares JHX's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Basic Materials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

JHX Weekly Price

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This chart uses JHX's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

JHX Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares JHX's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

JHX Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.