Oversold

JJSF

Valuation60/ 100
Cash flow & growth38/ 100
Upside potential34/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

JJSF's valuation appears fair, below average fundamentals limit its appeal and the outlook is broadly stable, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score rose 1 point, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 5.8%, from $89.26 to $84.11. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the lower price improved valuation support.

Valuation and price changes added 0.9 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 32.1× versus the full-history median of 37.3× shown in the valuation table, producing 60.1/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 59.6/100. The model applies a 9.2% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 29.9× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 31.2× PE and $3.1 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are weak. Over the past year: revenue -4.7%, earnings -39.5%, operating margin -2.4 percentage points. Free cash flow is 6% of revenue. The business score is 38.2/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

The earnings calculation and the displayed scenario are different.

The earnings case uses $3.06 of EPS and a 31.2× PE, suggesting about $95.50 before the minimum is applied. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The model applies a 15% minimum upside scenario, so the card shows +15%, or about $95.78. That adjusted price does not come from the EPS × PE calculation above.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $2.19 of EPS and a 27.2× PE, suggesting a share price of about $59.62 — 28% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

JJSF vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE32x135x76% lower
PE percentile345032% lower
EPS$2.59$3.0013% lower
FCF$92M$45.2M103% higher
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JJSF’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

JJSF Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStable
Forward earningsStable
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityExpanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

JJSF’s outlook is generally stable, though analyst coverage is limited.

JJSF PE Valuation

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This table applies JJSF's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

JJSF Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks JJSF's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

JJSF Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks JJSF's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

JJSF Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks JJSF's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

JJSF Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in JJSF's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

JJSF Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

JJSF PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

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This chart compares JJSF's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Defensive sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

JJSF Weekly Price

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This chart uses JJSF's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

JJSF Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares JJSF's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

JJSF Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.