Oversold

JPM

Same as last week
Valuation30/ 100
Cash flow & growth65/ 100
Upside potential35/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

JPM's valuation is somewhat elevated while fundamentals provide solid support and the outlook sends mixed signals, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 15.3× versus the full-history median of 11.1× shown in the valuation table, producing 29.3/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 29.7/100. The model applies a 11.2% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 13.3× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 14.6× PE and $27.9 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +8%, earnings +19.1%, operating margin +2.4 percentage points. The business score is 65/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

The earnings calculation and the displayed scenario are different.

The earnings case uses $27.93 of EPS and a 14.6× PE, suggesting about $409.04 before the minimum is applied. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The model applies a 15% minimum upside scenario, so the card shows +15%, or about $409.66. That adjusted price does not come from the EPS × PE calculation above.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $19.62 of EPS and a 13.3× PE, suggesting a share price of about $260.74 — 27% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

JPM vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE15x11x34% higher
PE percentile945088% higher
EPS$23.21$15.3551% higher
FCF-$162.5B-$21.5B-$141B
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JPM’s earnings are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

JPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStable
Forward earningsStable
Forward revenueStrong decline
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionModerate

JPM’s outlook is mixed, with declining sales expectations a concern.

JPM PE Valuation

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This table applies JPM's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

JPM Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks JPM's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

JPM Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks JPM's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

JPM Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks JPM's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

JPM Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in JPM's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

JPM Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector

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This chart compares JPM's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Financial Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

JPM Weekly Price

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This chart uses JPM's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

JPM Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares JPM's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

JPM Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

JXN

Valuation5/ 100
Cash flow & growth57/ 100
Upside potential31/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

JXN's valuation is expensive, fundamentals are somewhat mixed, while forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score fell 13 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 4.8%, from $134.16 to $140.63. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the higher price reduced valuation support.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 13.2 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 177.1× versus the full-history median of 1.9× shown in the valuation table, producing 5/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 5/100. The model applies a 20.1% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 6.5× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 151.5× PE and $1 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: earnings +500%. The business score is 56.7/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

The earnings calculation and the displayed scenario are different.

The earnings case uses $1.01 of EPS and a 151.5× PE, suggesting about $153.44 before the minimum is applied. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The model applies a 15% minimum upside scenario, so the card shows +15%, or about $158.84. That adjusted price does not come from the EPS × PE calculation above.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $0.67 of EPS and a 142.8× PE, suggesting a share price of about $95.08 — 31% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

JXN vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE177x54x226% higher
PE percentile945088% higher
EPS$0.78$20.8596% lower
FCF$5.9B$5.3B10% higher
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JXN’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

JXN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsGrowth
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

JXN’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

JXN PE Valuation

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This table applies JXN's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

JXN Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks JXN's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

JXN Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks JXN's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

JXN Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks JXN's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

JXN Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in JXN's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

JXN Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

JXN PE vs Financial Services Sector

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This chart compares JXN's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Financial Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

JXN Weekly Price

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This chart uses JXN's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

JXN Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares JXN's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

JXN Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.