Historical cheapness: current PE is 15.3× versus the full-history median of 11.1× shown in the valuation table, producing 29.3/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 29.7/100. The model applies a 11.2% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 13.3× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 14.6× PE and $27.9 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +8%, earnings +19.1%, operating margin +2.4 percentage points. The business score is 65/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

The earnings calculation and the displayed scenario are different.

The earnings case uses $27.93 of EPS and a 14.6× PE, suggesting about $409.04 before the minimum is applied. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The model applies a 15% minimum upside scenario, so the card shows +15%, or about $409.66. That adjusted price does not come from the EPS × PE calculation above.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $19.62 of EPS and a 13.3× PE, suggesting a share price of about $260.74 — 27% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Historical cheapness: current PE is 14.3× versus the full-history median of 16× shown in the valuation table, producing 57.6/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 58.5/100. The model applies a 12.8% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 16.1× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 16× PE and $3.6 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +3.5%, earnings +28.7%, operating margin +7.4 percentage points. The business score is 69.5/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $3.58 of EPS and a 16× PE, suggesting a share price of about $57.27. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 35.9% upside, or about $57.25.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $2.50 of EPS and a 13.6× PE, suggesting a share price of about $34.00 — 19% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.