Oversold

KMB

Valuation47/ 100
Cash flow & growth39/ 100
Upside potential26/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

KMB's valuation appears fair, below average fundamentals limit its appeal and weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score rose 1 point, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 4.2%, from $109.55 to $104.96. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the lower price improved valuation support.

Valuation and price changes added 0.8 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 16.7× versus the full-history median of 18.7× shown in the valuation table, producing 57.6/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 47.1/100. The model applies a -5.6% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 17.5× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 17.2× PE and $6.1 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are weak. Over the past year: revenue -8.4%, earnings -19%, operating margin -3.9 percentage points. Free cash flow is 15.5% of revenue. The business score is 39.4/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

The earnings calculation and the displayed scenario are different.

The earnings case uses $6.09 of EPS and a 17.2× PE, suggesting about $104.61 before the minimum is applied. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The model applies a 15% minimum upside scenario, so the card shows +15%, or about $112.87. That adjusted price does not come from the EPS × PE calculation above.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $4.48 of EPS and a 15.6× PE, suggesting a share price of about $69.77 — 29% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

KMB vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE17x19x11% lower
PE percentile455010% lower
EPS$5.88$6.185% lower
FCF$2.6B$2.2B15% higher
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KMB’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

KMB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationDeteriorating
Forward earningsDecline
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityExpanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

KMB’s outlook is mixed, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

KMB PE Valuation

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This table applies KMB's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

KMB Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks KMB's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

KMB Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks KMB's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

KMB Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks KMB's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

KMB Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in KMB's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

KMB Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

KMB PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

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This chart compares KMB's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Defensive sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

KMB Weekly Price

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This chart uses KMB's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

KMB Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares KMB's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

KMB Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.