Oversold

KMT

Valuation91/ 100
Cash flow & growth78/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

KMT's valuation is historically cheap, fundamentals provide solid support and forward estimates point to earnings and revenue growth despite pressure on margins, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score rose 12 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 5.0%, from $29.54 to $31.02.

Valuation and price changes added 11.5 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 6.7× versus the full-history median of 17.1× shown in the valuation table, producing 90.3/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 91.2/100. The model applies a 22% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 17.7× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 7.7× PE and $5.8 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +19.8%, earnings +266.7%, operating margin +13 percentage points. Free cash flow is -3.4% of revenue. The business score is 78.4/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $5.80 of EPS and a 7.7× PE, suggesting a share price of about $44.71. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 51.9% upside, or about $44.72.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $3.77 of EPS and a 6.3× PE, suggesting a share price of about $23.80 — 19% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

KMT vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE6.7x30x78% lower
PE percentile0.65099% lower
EPS$4.40$1.16278% higher
FCF-$80.9M$124.5M165% lower
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KMT’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

KMT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsGrowth
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityContracting
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

KMT’s outlook is generally improving, with narrowing profit margins the main concern.

KMT PE Valuation

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This table applies KMT's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

KMT Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks KMT's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

KMT Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks KMT's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

KMT Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks KMT's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

KMT Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in KMT's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

KMT Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

KMT PE vs Industrials Sector

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This chart compares KMT's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Industrials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

KMT Weekly Price

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This chart uses KMT's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

KMT Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares KMT's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

KMT Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.