Oversold

KSS

Valuation45/ 100
Cash flow & growth58/ 100
Upside potential41/ 100
Risk potential36/ 100

KSS's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are above averages and the outlook sends mixed signals, though estimates vary widely.

Score change since last week

The score fell 5 points, mainly due to business results and financial strength. Price rose 11.1%, from $17.50 to $19.44. Reported annual EPS changed from $2.41 to $2.32.

Business results and financial strength subtracted 3.1 points. Valuation and price changes subtracted 2.6 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 7.4× versus the full-history median of 7.1× shown in the valuation table, producing 46.5/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 44.8/100. The model applies a 7.2% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 7.4× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 7.4× PE and $2.7 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue -2.9%, earnings +25.4%, operating margin +0.6 percentage points. Free cash flow is 6.4% of revenue. The business score is 57.8/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $2.71 of EPS and a 7.4× PE, suggesting a share price of about $20.03. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 16.3% upside, or about $20.04.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $1.91 of EPS and a 5.8× PE, suggesting a share price of about $11.04 — 36% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

KSS vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE7.4x8.5x13% lower
PE percentile605021% higher
EPS$2.32$2.1110% higher
FCF$988M$662M49% higher
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KSS’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

KSS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsGrowth
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityStable
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionWide

KSS’s outlook is mixed, though analysts differ widely on the estimates.

KSS PE Valuation

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This table applies KSS's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

KSS Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks KSS's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

KSS Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks KSS's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

KSS Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks KSS's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

KSS Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in KSS's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

KSS Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

KSS PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

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This chart compares KSS's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Cyclical sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

KSS Weekly Price

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This chart uses KSS's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

KSS Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares KSS's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

KSS Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.