Oversold

LCID

ValuationN/A
Cash flow & growthN/A
Upside potentialN/A
Risk potentialN/A

Valuation

The valuation score compares today’s PE with recent history and similar earnings periods. Stronger growth supports a higher valuation; weaker growth lowers it. Earnings that are difficult to compare receive less weight.

Cash flow & growth

The business score reflects revenue and earnings growth, profit margins and free cash flow. Recent results show whether the business is improving or weakening. Measures must fit the business; incomplete or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Reliable data is insufficient to calculate upside.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Reliable data is insufficient to calculate downside.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

LCID vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
EPS-$13.69-$222.02$208.33 higher
FCF-$6.6B-$2.7B-$3.8B
Loading historical comparisons…

LCID’s earnings are above their historical averages.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsLoss narrowing
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

LCID’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

LCID PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies LCID's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks LCID's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks LCID's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks LCID's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

LCID Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in LCID's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

LCID Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares LCID's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Cyclical sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

LCID Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses LCID's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares LCID's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

LCID Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

STX

Valuation8/ 100
Cash flow & growth93/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential37/ 100

STX's valuation is expensive, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability, though estimates vary widely.

Score change since last week

The score fell 13 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 2.4%, from $829.76 to $849.28. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the higher price reduced valuation support.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 13.3 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 59.7× versus the full-history median of 15.1× shown in the valuation table, producing 6.3/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 7.6/100. The model applies a 45.5% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 31.2× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 58.8× PE and $21.8 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +34.1%, earnings +105.3%, operating margin +12.8 percentage points. Free cash flow is 27.3% of revenue. The business score is 92.6/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $21.79 of EPS and a 58.8× PE, suggesting a share price of about $1280.40. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 54.2% upside, or about $1280.12.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $12.28 of EPS and a 42.7× PE, suggesting a share price of about $524.04 — 37% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

STX vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE60x23x163% higher
PE percentile915082% higher
EPS$13.90$4.21230% higher
FCF$3.3B$1B225% higher
Loading historical comparisons…

STX’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

STX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageBroad
Estimate dispersionWide

STX’s outlook is generally improving, though analysts differ widely on the estimates.

STX PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies STX's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

STX Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks STX's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

STX Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks STX's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

STX Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks STX's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

STX Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in STX's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

STX Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

STX PE vs Technology Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares STX's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

STX Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses STX's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

STX Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares STX's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

STX Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.