Oversold

LCID

ValuationN/A
Cash flow & growthN/A
Upside potentialN/A
Risk potentialN/A

Valuation

The valuation score compares today’s PE with recent history and similar earnings periods. Stronger growth supports a higher valuation; weaker growth lowers it. Earnings that are difficult to compare receive less weight.

Cash flow & growth

The business score reflects revenue and earnings growth, profit margins and free cash flow. Recent results show whether the business is improving or weakening. Measures must fit the business; incomplete or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Reliable data is insufficient to calculate upside.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Reliable data is insufficient to calculate downside.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

LCID vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
EPS-$13.69-$222.02$208.33 higher
FCF-$6.6B-$2.7B-$3.8B
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LCID’s earnings are above their historical averages.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsLoss narrowing
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

LCID’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

LCID PE Valuation

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This table applies LCID's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

LCID Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks LCID's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks LCID's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

LCID Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks LCID's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

LCID Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in LCID's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

LCID Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

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This chart compares LCID's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Cyclical sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

LCID Weekly Price

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This chart uses LCID's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares LCID's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

LCID Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

ULTA

Valuation53/ 100
Cash flow & growth62/ 100
Upside potential44/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

ULTA's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to earnings and revenue growth.

Score change since last week

The score fell 2 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 9.0%, from $517.50 to $564.12. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the higher price reduced valuation support.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 2.4 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 19.9× versus the full-history median of 20.3× shown in the valuation table, producing 51.4/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 53.2/100. The model applies a 14.9% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 19.5× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 19.9× PE and $33.8 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +11.2%, earnings +4.9%. Free cash flow is 8.2% of revenue. The business score is 62.3/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $33.81 of EPS and a 19.9× PE, suggesting a share price of about $672.37. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 23% upside, or about $672.54.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $23.92 of EPS and a 16.1× PE, suggesting a share price of about $385.90 — 29% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

ULTA vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE20x27x25% lower
PE percentile52504% higher
EPS$27.47$20.3835% higher
FCF$1.1B$952.6M12% higher
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ULTA’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

ULTA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsGrowth
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStable
Analyst coverageBroad
Estimate dispersionTight

ULTA’s outlook is generally improving, with growth expectations supporting the valuation case.

ULTA PE Valuation

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This table applies ULTA's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

ULTA Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks ULTA's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

ULTA Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks ULTA's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

ULTA Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks ULTA's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

ULTA Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in ULTA's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

ULTA Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

ULTA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

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This chart compares ULTA's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Cyclical sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

ULTA Weekly Price

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This chart uses ULTA's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

ULTA Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares ULTA's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

ULTA Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.