Oversold

LOPE

Same as last week
Valuation51/ 100
Cash flow & growth66/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

LOPE's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 18.3× versus the full-history median of 18.6× shown in the valuation table, producing 51.2/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 50.9/100. The model applies a 9.7% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 20.3× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 20.2× PE and $9.8 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +7%, earnings +0.1%, operating margin +0.8 percentage points. Free cash flow is 21.2% of revenue. The business score is 65.5/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $9.80 of EPS and a 20.2× PE, suggesting a share price of about $197.71. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 30.8% upside, or about $197.77.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $7.01 of EPS and a 17.5× PE, suggesting a share price of about $122.81 — 19% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

LOPE vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE18x19x2% lower
PE percentile48503% lower
EPS$8.27$6.5626% higher
FCF$242.5M$236.2M3% higher
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LOPE’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

LOPE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsGrowth
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityExpanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

LOPE’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

LOPE PE Valuation

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This table applies LOPE's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

LOPE Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks LOPE's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

LOPE Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks LOPE's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

LOPE Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks LOPE's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

LOPE Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in LOPE's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

LOPE Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

LOPE PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

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This chart compares LOPE's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Defensive sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

LOPE Weekly Price

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This chart uses LOPE's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

LOPE Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares LOPE's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

LOPE Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.