Oversold

LUMN

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth45/ 100
Upside potential44/ 100
Risk potential57/ 100

LUMN's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed and the outlook sends mixed signals, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue -7.7%, operating margin -1.7 percentage points. Free cash flow is 7.1% of revenue. The business score is 44.5/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 45.5% upside, or about $10.10.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 36.7%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 57.1% downside, or about $2.98, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

LUMN vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE2.6x6x57% lower
PE percentile051100% lower
EPS-$1.02-$2.14$1.12 higher
FCF$837M$1.5B43% lower
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LUMN’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

LUMN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsLoss stable
Forward revenueDecline
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

LUMN’s outlook is mixed, with declining sales expectations a concern.

LUMN PE Valuation

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This table applies LUMN's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

LUMN Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks LUMN's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

LUMN Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks LUMN's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

LUMN Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks LUMN's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

LUMN Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in LUMN's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

LUMN Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

LUMN PE vs Communication Services Sector

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This chart compares LUMN's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Communication Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

LUMN Weekly Price

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This chart uses LUMN's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

LUMN Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares LUMN's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

LUMN Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

NBIS

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth66/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential64/ 100

NBIS's valuation appears fair while fundamentals provide solid support and weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though analyst coverage is limited and estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +460.9%, operating margin +148.1 percentage points. Free cash flow is -434.2% of revenue. The business score is 65.8/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 83.7% upside, or about $412.50.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 33.6%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 64.4% downside, or about $79.94, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

NBIS vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE805x146x449% higher
PE percentile9849100% higher
EPS-$0.13$0.67119% lower
FCF-$5.9B-$73.1M-$5.8B
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NBIS’s earnings are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

NBIS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsLoss widening
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly contracting
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

NBIS’s outlook is mixed, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

NBIS PE Valuation

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This table applies NBIS's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

NBIS Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks NBIS's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

NBIS Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks NBIS's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

NBIS Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks NBIS's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

NBIS Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in NBIS's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

NBIS Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

NBIS PE vs Communication Services Sector

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This chart compares NBIS's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Communication Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

NBIS Weekly Price

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This chart uses NBIS's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

NBIS Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares NBIS's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

NBIS Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.