Oversold

LUMN

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth45/ 100
Upside potential44/ 100
Risk potential57/ 100

LUMN's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed and the outlook sends mixed signals, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue -7.7%, operating margin -1.7 percentage points. Free cash flow is 7.1% of revenue. The business score is 44.5/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 45.5% upside, or about $10.10.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 36.7%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 57.1% downside, or about $2.98, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

LUMN vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE2.6x6x57% lower
PE percentile051100% lower
EPS-$1.02-$2.14$1.12 higher
FCF$837M$1.5B43% lower
Loading historical comparisons…

LUMN’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

LUMN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsLoss stable
Forward revenueDecline
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

LUMN’s outlook is mixed, with declining sales expectations a concern.

LUMN PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies LUMN's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

LUMN Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks LUMN's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

LUMN Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks LUMN's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

LUMN Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks LUMN's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

LUMN Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in LUMN's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

LUMN Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

LUMN PE vs Communication Services Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares LUMN's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Communication Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

LUMN Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses LUMN's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

LUMN Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares LUMN's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

LUMN Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

TMUS

Same as last week
Valuation76/ 100
Cash flow & growth55/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

TMUS's valuation is historically cheap, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to earnings growth and improving margins.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 19.1× versus the full-history median of 26.2× shown in the valuation table, producing 70.3/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 76/100. The model applies a 27.4% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 22.7× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 21.4× PE and $13.1 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +9.7%, earnings -9.8%, operating margin -2.8 percentage points. Free cash flow is 16.6% of revenue. The business score is 54.8/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $13.08 of EPS and a 21.4× PE, suggesting a share price of about $279.80. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 53.5% upside, or about $279.88.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $8.33 of EPS and a 18× PE, suggesting a share price of about $150.42 — 18% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

TMUS vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE19x38x50% lower
PE percentile45092% lower
EPS$9.55$5.5373% higher
FCF$15.3B$3.9B290% higher
Loading historical comparisons…

TMUS’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

TMUS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityExpanding
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionTight

TMUS’s outlook is generally improving, with growth expectations supporting the valuation case.

TMUS PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies TMUS's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

TMUS Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks TMUS's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

TMUS Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks TMUS's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

TMUS Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks TMUS's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

TMUS Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in TMUS's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

TMUS Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

TMUS PE vs Communication Services Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares TMUS's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Communication Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

TMUS Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses TMUS's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

TMUS Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares TMUS's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

TMUS Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.